MODEL-DRIVEN SPORTS INTELLIGENCE

One research desk.
Five independent model systems.

Proprietary projections, sportsbook market context, betting splits and transparent performance tracking across football, basketball and MLB home-run markets.

Model-first forecastingTimestamped predictionsAuditable results
STAT FACTORY / MODEL NETWORK
MODEL LAYERIndependent ForecastsSportsbook context remains downstream of prediction engines
CFB + NFLGame MarketsML / spread / total
CBB + NBABoards + PropsGame and player distributions
MLB HRPlayer PropsFair HR probability

THE MODEL SUITE

Built for bettors who want the number behind the pick.

Each terminal stays operationally independent. Stat Factory adds one identity, one membership layer and one consistent research experience.

01FOOTBALL

College Football

CFB Intelligence

Market-blind win, margin and total forecasts paired with downstream sportsbook context and transparent grading.

Moneyline / spread / total
Explore terminal
02BASKETBALL

College Basketball

CBB Intelligence

Daily college basketball projections with model confidence, fair pricing and market-comparison tools.

Moneyline / spread
Explore terminal
03FOOTBALL

National Football League

NFL Intelligence

Game and player-prop forecasts built from roster quality, trenches, quarterback play, injuries, scheme, pace and matchup context.

ML / spread / total / player props
Explore terminal
04BASKETBALL

National Basketball Association

NBA Intelligence

Player and game distributions designed to turn projected outcomes into transparent prop and market comparisons.

Game markets / player props
Explore terminal
05BASEBALL

Major League Baseball

MLB Home Run Intelligence

Player-level home-run probability, park and matchup context, and sportsbook value comparison in one daily board.

Home-run probability / value
Explore terminal

DASHBOARD PREVIEWS

See how model output becomes a decision board.

These are illustrative interface previews, not live picks. Live dashboards use the current model slate, sportsbook data and member entitlements.

ILLUSTRATIVE PREVIEW
CFB

College Football

Game Forecast

MODEL
Model win probability63.8%
Projected margin-5.7
Market spread-3.5

Team strength, roster context, efficiency, pace and venue signals feed the forecast before market comparison.

Explore CFB
ILLUSTRATIVE PREVIEW
CBB

College Basketball

Daily Board

MODEL
Model win probability57.1%
Fair spread-2.8
Book spread-1.0

Possession-level team quality and matchup context are translated into game-level probabilities and margins.

Explore CBB
ILLUSTRATIVE PREVIEW
NFL

National Football League

Player Prop

MODEL
QB pass yards279.4
Sportsbook line264.5
Model difference+14.9

Player usage, opponent structure, protection, quarterback play, injuries and game environment shape the projection.

Explore NFL
ILLUSTRATIVE PREVIEW
NBA

National Basketball Association

Distribution View

MODEL
Points + rebounds + assists38.6
Sportsbook line35.5
Model difference+3.1

Minutes, usage, role, opponent context and distribution uncertainty are reflected before evaluating the market line.

Explore NBA
ILLUSTRATIVE PREVIEW
MLB HR

Major League Baseball

Home Run Board

MODEL
HR probability18.6%
Model fair price+438
Sportsbook price+525

Batter, pitcher, park, handedness and game-environment inputs are converted into a player-level home-run probability.

Explore MLB HR

HOW THE MODELS FUNCTION

Enough transparency to understand the system. Not enough to give away the recipe.

Stat Factory is built around independent sport-specific forecasting systems. We disclose the categories of information the models consider, how forecasts are evaluated and where sportsbook data enters the workflow, while keeping exact feature engineering, weights, model architecture and tuning proprietary.

01

Context in

Sport-specific pipelines organize historical performance, roster and player usage, injuries, opponent strength, venue, pace, efficiency and other relevant game context.

02

Independent forecast

Each sport uses its own predictive system to estimate win probability, margin, totals or player-level outcome distributions. The exact feature weights and model recipes remain proprietary.

03

Simulation and calibration

Where appropriate, distributions and simulations translate model inputs into probabilities while historical testing measures calibration, error and stability across seasons.

04

Market overlay

Sportsbook odds, lines, movement and betting splits are compared after the underlying forecast. This keeps market context from becoming the answer the model is trying to predict.

05

Audit the result

Predictions can be timestamped and graded against outcomes using model-specific accuracy, calibration and market-value diagnostics so performance stays measurable.

MEMBERSHIP BUNDLES

Subscribe by sport, by category, or take the entire desk.

Bundle entitlements are additive. A customer can hold more than one subscription without one plan removing access granted by another.

BUNDLE

Football Bundle

CFB + NFL under one football membership.

CFBNFL
BUNDLE

Basketball Bundle

CBB + NBA under one basketball membership.

CBBNBA
BUNDLE

College Bundle

CFB + CBB under one college-sports membership.

CFBCBB
FULL DESK

All Access

Every Stat Factory model under one membership.

CFBCBBNFLNBAMLB HR

DESIGNED AROUND TRUST

Forecast first.
Market second.

Proprietary model outputs are kept separate from downstream sportsbook information wherever the model is designed to be market-blind. That makes model-versus-market disagreement measurable instead of circular.

View membership architecture
01

Frozen forecasts

Predictions can be preserved with timestamps and model provenance before downstream market comparison.

02

Transparent grading

Outcome records, model error and market-value diagnostics stay distinct so each metric means what it says.

03

Unified access

Shared authentication and entitlements sit above the sport systems without merging their databases or pipelines.

04

Expandable

New sports, plans and member tools can be added without redesigning identity and billing.

SPORTSBOOK INTELLIGENCE

Stat Factory is a research platform, not a pick sheet.

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